Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.878431 1.006893 1.146728 1.310133 1.495730 1.699870 1.941327
2024-12-15 0.736168 0.921719 1.140990 1.418718 1.760619 2.167256 2.687109
2024-12-22 0.600609 0.816287 1.091282 1.466384 1.963401 2.597959 3.468121
2024-12-29 0.506491 0.743054 1.066718 1.539459 2.209552 3.122187 4.455834
2025-01-05 0.414577 0.653793 1.003557 1.548233 2.370346 3.559065 5.401012
2025-01-12 0.351387 0.592798 0.968249 1.588643 2.580763 4.096051 6.572855
2025-01-19 0.288211 0.518582 0.898550 1.562707 2.684310 4.487694 7.586309
2025-01-26 0.254848 0.486569 0.889931 1.632121 2.949171 5.167608 9.154895
2025-02-02 0.229905 0.464076 0.892789 1.720292 3.257829 5.961377 11.026305
2025-02-09 0.200362 0.426880 0.862302 1.742405 3.451424 6.582471 12.684645
2025-02-16 0.173707 0.389814 0.825103 1.744552 3.606512 7.153182 14.328352
2025-02-23 0.151944 0.358348 0.793051 1.750539 3.768186 7.755285 16.110071
2025-03-02 0.133527 0.330891 0.765382 1.762913 3.949027 8.427962 18.142462
2025-03-09 0.120208 0.312346 0.753602 1.807447 4.204516 9.286295 20.672415
2025-03-16 0.105218 0.286637 0.721181 1.800429 4.347240 9.931284 22.848909
2025-03-23 0.095348 0.271623 0.710924 1.842871 4.607646 10.863118 25.771062
2025-03-30 0.083393 0.248536 0.676865 1.822078 4.717384 11.476933 28.070743
2025-04-06 0.075326 0.234300 0.662476 1.847813 4.943167 12.385136 31.167050
2025-04-13 0.065332 0.212301 0.623675 1.803548 4.987511 12.873393 33.339801
2025-04-20 0.061028 0.206281 0.627140 1.873097 5.335443 14.140714 37.567939
2025-04-27 0.057905 0.203245 0.638479 1.966508 5.761190 15.656728 42.610756
2025-05-04 0.052699 0.192328 0.624947 1.986703 5.990717 16.703944 46.595155
2025-05-11 0.047481 0.180153 0.605375 1.985774 6.161132 17.619709 50.356439